Ceasefire Success: A Conceptual Framework

The causes and consequences of ceasefires have become a burgeoning area research. concept ceasefire success is integral to this research plays key role as either the dependent or independent variable in both qualitative quantitative work. Despite its importance, it not clear how should be conceptualized. This critically hampers progress theoretical empirical on ceasefires. article offers conceptual framework based central proposition that assessed terms two inter-related but conceptually distinct criteria: immediate objective underlying purpose. objective, which embedded definition ceasefire, cessation hostilities (either permanently temporarily). While all share their purpose, reason for establishing varies widely across cases. while distinct, are linked since purpose informs temporal geographic scope hostilities. Based framework, we argue researchers interested need clearly identify assumptions choices, take account political context question.